Artificial Intelligence / AI 0351 · Atom · ~20 seconds
Best Guess Is Not Best Act
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State
Choosing an action under uncertainty means weighing every world the action might land in — not picking the likeliest world and acting as if it were certain.
Show
Rain sits at 0.3, the likeliest morning is dry — and nearly everyone carries the umbrella anyway, rightly.
Watch for
The two possible mistakes are nothing alike, and likeliest-world thinking is blind to that.