SW StudyWalks

Artificial Intelligence  /  AI 0283  ·  Atom · ~20 seconds

Along a Branch, Multiply

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When one thing must happen and then another, the chance of both is found by multiplying along the path.

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Bike reaches the harbor on time 0.9; the ferry is running 0.8: the whole plan works 0.9 × 0.8 — 0.72.

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The multiplication is a two-stage count compressed — 90 on-time trips of 100, and eight-tenths of those find the boat.